Bitcoin ETF Inflows Surge as BlackRock's IBIT Pulls in Nearly $600 Million in Three Days
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs pulled in $524.8 million on Wednesday, extending an inflow streak that began Monday to three sessions and roughly $1.07 billion, according to Decrypt's ETF tracker. That was enough to flip October positive: after shedding about $615 million through the prior Friday, the funds are now up roughly $460 million for the month. Monday's $526.7 million haul, the funds' best day since Sept. 22, came entirely from BlackRock's IBIT, the report said. The buying returned after two weeks in which the funds lost about $910 million, and it arrived alongside a fresh long-term forecast from J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Bitcoin itself fell 2.4% to about $81,470 even as the flows turned positive.
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs pulled in $524.8 million on Wednesday, extending an inflow streak that began Monday to three sessions and roughly $1.07 billion, according to Decrypt's ETF tracker. That was enough to flip October positive: after shedding about $615 million through the prior Friday, the funds are now up roughly $460 million for the month. Monday's $526.7 million haul, the funds' best day since Sept. 22, came entirely from BlackRock's IBIT, the report said. The buying returned after two weeks in which the funds lost about $910 million, and it arrived alongside a fresh long-term forecast from J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Bitcoin itself fell 2.4% to about $81,470 even as the flows turned positive.
Background
The Decrypt report, dated 2026-08-20, frames the inflow streak as a reversal of a difficult stretch. Through the Friday before the streak, the spot Bitcoin funds had shed about $615 million in October; over the two weeks prior, they had lost about $910 million. Monday's $526.7 million haul was the funds' best single day since Sept. 22 and came entirely from BlackRock's IBIT, according to the report. Cumulative net inflows since launch now stand at $58.4 billion, with total net assets at $100.8 billion. The article also ties the return of buyers to a longer-horizon signal from Wall Street: J.P. Morgan Asset Management this week projected a 10% compound annual return for Bitcoin over the next 10 to 15 years in its first long-term forecast for the asset, while cautioning about 55% volatility. On the Ethereum side, the report describes a five-day outflow streak that drained about $389 million before Wednesday's $14.9 million inflow snapped it; Ethereum ETFs remain down roughly $1.07 billion for October, with cumulative net inflows of $12.8 billion. The piece also notes the Federal Reserve next meets on Oct. 27-28, with persistent inflation keeping another rate hike on the table.
What happened
According to Decrypt's ETF tracker, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs took in $524.8 million on Wednesday, stretching an inflow streak that began Monday to three sessions and roughly $1.07 billion. That total was enough to flip the month positive: after shedding about $615 million through last Friday, the funds are now up roughly $460 million for October, the report states. Monday's $526.7 million haul, described as the funds' best day since Sept. 22, came entirely from BlackRock's IBIT, per Decrypt. The rebound follows two weeks in which the funds lost about $910 million, and cumulative net inflows since launch stand at $58.4 billion, with total net assets at $100.8 billion. The report also notes that J.P. Morgan Asset Management this week projected a 10% compound annual return for Bitcoin over the next 10 to 15 years in its first long-term forecast for the asset, while cautioning about 55% volatility. On the Ethereum side, Decrypt reports that the funds took in $14.9 million on Wednesday, snapping a five-day outflow streak that drained about $389 million, though they remain down roughly $1.07 billion for October, with cumulative net inflows at $12.8 billion. Prices did not follow the flows: Bitcoin traded at about $81,470 on Thursday, down 2.4% over 24 hours but up 2% on the week, after hitting a weekly high near $85,000 just yesterday, the report says. Ethereum fell 2.6% to roughly $2,393, and the total crypto market cap slipped 2.9% to $2.84 trillion, with Zcash among the hardest hit in the top 10, dropping 5.6% though still up nearly 14% over seven days.
Market impact
The flow figures in Decrypt's report are the core of the story: $524.8 million into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs on Wednesday, about $1.07 billion over three sessions, and roughly $460 million net positive for October after a $615 million deficit through the prior Friday. Monday's $526.7 million, entirely from BlackRock's IBIT, was the best day since Sept. 22. Cumulative net inflows since launch are $58.4 billion, with total net assets of $100.8 billion. Ethereum ETFs took in $14.9 million on Wednesday, snapping a five-day outflow streak that drained about $389 million, but remain down roughly $1.07 billion for October, with cumulative net inflows of $12.8 billion. Price action moved the other way: Bitcoin traded at about $81,470, down 2.4% over 24 hours but up 2% on the week, after a weekly high near $85,000 the previous day. Ethereum fell 2.6% to roughly $2,393, and the total crypto market cap slipped 2.9% to $2.84 trillion. Zcash dropped 5.6% but remained up nearly 14% over seven days. On Myriad, a prediction market developed by Decrypt's parent company Dastan, traders give Bitcoin just a 20% chance of topping $87,500 before October ends and 9% odds of reaching $90,000, while putting the odds of a drop to $77,500 at 35%; Bitcoin already briefly slipped below $80,000 last week. Myriad users give ETH a 61.3% chance of pumping to $3,000 before dumping to $1,500.
Why it matters
The report supports a few consequences. First, the three-day buying reversed October's losses in the ETF complex, turning a roughly $615 million monthly deficit into a roughly $460 million surplus, which Decrypt frames as buyers erasing October's losses in three trading days. Second, the concentration matters: Monday's $526.7 million, the best day since Sept. 22, came entirely from BlackRock's IBIT, so the rebound rests heavily on a single issuer. Third, the flows did not lift prices, a divergence the report highlights explicitly: Bitcoin was down 2.4% at about $81,470 even as inflows accumulated, and prediction-market traders on Myriad give only a 20% chance of topping $87,500 before October ends. Fourth, the return of buyers coincided with J.P. Morgan Asset Management's first long-term forecast for Bitcoin, a 10% compound annual return over 10 to 15 years with a caution about 55% volatility, which the report presents as a vote of long-term confidence from Wall Street. Finally, the report flags the Federal Reserve's Oct. 27-28 meeting, with persistent inflation keeping another rate hike on the table, as a catalyst to watch.
DeFi Intel’s take
Editorial analysis, not a statement of fact.
DeFi Intel's take: we read this as a flows-versus-price divergence worth watching rather than a clean bullish signal. The sources show roughly $1.07 billion returning to spot Bitcoin ETFs in three sessions and October flipping to about $460 million positive, yet Bitcoin still fell 2.4% to about $81,470 and Myriad traders assign only a 20% chance of topping $87,500 before October ends. That suggests ETF demand is absorbing supply rather than driving price, and the fact that Monday's $526.7 million came entirely from BlackRock's IBIT suggests the recovery is narrow. The J.P. Morgan Asset Management long-term projection, with its 55% volatility caveat, reads to us as a slow-moving confidence signal, not a catalyst. With the Fed meeting Oct. 27-28 and a rate hike still on the table per the report, we would treat the inflow streak as fragile until prices confirm it.
Sources used for this analysis
DeFi Intel wrote this analysis from the reporting above. Any figure or quotation can be checked against those pages.
Frequently asked questions
How much did U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs take in during the three-day streak?
According to Decrypt's ETF tracker, the funds took in $524.8 million on Wednesday, bringing the streak that began Monday to three sessions and roughly $1.07 billion. That flipped October positive: after shedding about $615 million through the prior Friday, the funds were up roughly $460 million for the month. Monday's $526.7 million, the best day since Sept. 22, came entirely from BlackRock's IBIT.
Did the ETF inflows push Bitcoin's price higher?
No, per the report. Bitcoin traded at about $81,470 on Thursday, down 2.4% over 24 hours but still up 2% on the week, after hitting a weekly high near $85,000 just yesterday. Ethereum fell 2.6% to roughly $2,393, and the total crypto market cap slipped 2.9% to $2.84 trillion. Decrypt explicitly notes the inflows haven't lifted prices.
What did J.P. Morgan Asset Management forecast for Bitcoin?
The report says J.P. Morgan Asset Management this week projected a 10% compound annual return for Bitcoin over the next 10 to 15 years in its first long-term forecast for the asset, while cautioning about 55% volatility. Decrypt presents the forecast as a fresh vote of long-term confidence from Wall Street coinciding with the return of ETF buyers.
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