XRP leads broad altcoin rally as bitcoin's biggest weekly gain in two years lifts crypto
Bitcoin traded near $84,500 on Wednesday, up 2.5% over 24 hours, as the crypto market recovered from a mid-October slide that had pushed it below $80,000, according to Decrypt. XRP led the large caps with a 4.1% gain to $1.37, while Zcash jumped 11.2% to $1,332 and has added 15.3% over seven days. Ethereum climbed 2.5% to $2,504, Solana gained 2.2% to $108.18 and BNB rose 2% to $749. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index reads 55, neutral but three points above the previous day, suggesting traders have stopped panicking without yet chasing prices.
Bitcoin traded near $84,500 on Wednesday, up 2.5% over 24 hours, as the crypto market recovered from a mid-October slide that had pushed it below $80,000, according to Decrypt. XRP led the large caps with a 4.1% gain to $1.37, while Zcash jumped 11.2% to $1,332 and has added 15.3% over seven days. Ethereum climbed 2.5% to $2,504, Solana gained 2.2% to $108.18 and BNB rose 2% to $749. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index reads 55, neutral but three points above the previous day, suggesting traders have stopped panicking without yet chasing prices.
Background
Decrypt frames the bounce against a difficult month. Bitcoin had slid below $80,000 in a mid-October dip, with the article describing a "pretty spooky start to the month" that followed historically strong seasonal gains. The macro backdrop the source identifies is oil and rates: Brent crude has swung between $97 and $112 a barrel this month and traded near $108 on Wednesday, with the war with Iran keeping supply fears alive and Washington having rejected an Iranian plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz in late September. Oil feeds inflation, and U.S. consumer prices rose 3.7% in September from a year earlier, above the 3.6% economists expected and up from 3.4% in August. Higher inflation pushes up Treasury yields, and government bonds paying more than 5% with almost no default risk pull money away from stocks and crypto, while higher rates make the borrowing behind leveraged trades costlier. The Federal Reserve's benchmark rate sits at 3.75% to 4% after a September hike, and CME FedWatch gives about an eight-in-ten chance of a hold at the Oct. 28 meeting, with markets firmly expecting a hike on Dec. 9. Decrypt also notes a 5.09% 10-year Treasury yield drove October's selloff, and that both oil and yields eased slightly on Wednesday.
What happened
According to Decrypt, Bitcoin opened Wednesday at $82,928.80 and reached $84,726.28, up 1.94% for the candle, after bouncing about 6% from this month's low near $79,711. The report says the price is pressing up toward natural resistance at $87,422.70, the September high of a rally that ran from $62,763. That trend marked strong support at $81,603, a level Bitcoin lost in the October dip and has now reclaimed. On the technical side, Decrypt reports the 50-day exponential moving average sits near $80,782, above the 200-day moving average at about $76,084, with Bitcoin trading 4.6% above the shorter average. The Relative Strength Index reads 58.5, which the source says means buyers hold the edge without momentum being stretched, since 70 marks overbought territory. Decrypt describes the bullish scenario as needing a daily close above $84,726, today's high, ideally with ADX climbing back above 25 to confirm a trend, which would open a natural target around $86,090 and then the September high at $87,422.70. A stall below $84,726 would keep Bitcoin inside the roughly $79,700 to $87,400 range that has held since late September, which the source says fits an ADX under 20. The bearish case starts with a daily close below $81,603. Decrypt also reports that traders on Myriad, a prediction market built by Decrypt's parent company Dastan, put the odds of Bitcoin touching $87,500 in October at 31%, down from 45% on Oct. 12, with a $90,000 touch priced at 18%.
Market impact
The figures Decrypt reports are internally mixed on market capitalization. The article's summary says the crypto market cap rose 2.6% to $2.82 trillion, while the body of the same report says total market capitalization rose 2.2% to $2.9 trillion; the source does not reconcile the two figures. On individual assets, the source puts Bitcoin near $84,500, up 2.5% over 24 hours, Ethereum at $2,504, up 2.5%, Solana at $108.18, up 2.2%, and BNB at $749, up 2%. XRP led the large caps with a 4.1% gain to $1.37, while Zcash jumped 11.2% to $1,332 and has now added 15.3% over seven days. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index reads 55, neutral but 3 points ahead of yesterday's readings. On macro inputs, Brent crude traded near $108 a barrel, U.S. consumer prices rose 3.7% in September year over year against expectations of 3.6% and August's 3.4%, the Fed's benchmark rate sits at 3.75% to 4%, and CME FedWatch gives about an eight-in-ten chance of a hold at the Oct. 28 meeting. Decrypt also cites a 5.09% 10-year Treasury yield as a driver of October's selloff, and reports Myriad odds of a $87,500 October touch at 31%, down from 45% on Oct. 12, with $90,000 at 18%.
Why it matters
Decrypt's framing suggests the rally matters less as a breakout than as a pause in a macro-driven selloff. The source ties October's slide to Brent crude near $108 and a 5.09% 10-year Treasury yield, and notes both eased slightly on Wednesday, which is the backdrop against which Bitcoin bounced about 6% from its low near $79,711 and reclaimed the $81,603 support level. The Fear & Greed reading of 55 supports the source's own interpretation that traders have stopped panicking but are not yet chasing prices. For the wider market, the source presents XRP's 4.1% gain and Zcash's 11.2% jump as evidence the bounce was broad rather than Bitcoin-only, with Ethereum, Solana and BNB all higher. The technical picture the source describes still counsels caution: momentum is not stretched at an RSI of 58.5, and the bullish case requires a daily close above $84,726 with ADX back above 25. Prediction market pricing on Myriad, at 31% for an October touch of $87,500, down from 45% on Oct. 12, points to traders hedging rather than committing, even as the source says prediction markets lean optimistically bullish.
DeFi Intel’s take
Editorial analysis, not a statement of fact.
DeFi Intel's take: we read this bounce as a relief rally inside a range rather than a trend change, and the source's own numbers support that caution. Bitcoin reclaimed $81,603 but sits below the $84,726 level Decrypt identifies as the trigger for a bullish confirmation, with RSI at 58.5 and ADX described as under 20 in the range scenario. The macro inputs the source cites, Brent near $108, September CPI at 3.7% and a Fed at 3.75% to 4% with a December hike expected, suggest the rate-and-oil pressure that drove October's slide has eased only slightly, not reversed. XRP's 4.1% gain and Zcash's 11.2% jump suggest rotation into altcoins, but the source's own prediction market data, with October odds of $87,500 down from 45% to 31%, hints traders are pricing a ceiling. We would treat a daily close above $84,726 as the signal that matters.
Sources used for this analysis
DeFi Intel wrote this analysis from the reporting above. Any figure or quotation can be checked against those pages.
Frequently asked questions
How much did Bitcoin and the major altcoins move on Wednesday?
Decrypt reports Bitcoin traded near $84,500, up 2.5% over 24 hours, after bouncing about 6% from this month's low near $79,711. Ethereum climbed 2.5% to $2,504, Solana gained 2.2% to $108.18 and BNB rose 2% to $749. XRP led the large caps with a 4.1% gain to $1.37, while Zcash jumped 11.2% to $1,332 and has added 15.3% over seven days.
What macro factors does the source blame for October's crypto selloff?
Decrypt cites Brent crude near $108 a barrel and a 5.09% 10-year Treasury yield as drivers of October's selloff, noting both eased slightly on Wednesday. The source ties oil to inflation, with U.S. consumer prices up 3.7% in September year over year, above the 3.6% expected, and says higher yields pull money away from crypto and make leveraged borrowing costlier.
What technical levels does Decrypt identify for Bitcoin?
The source says Bitcoin reclaimed support at $81,603 and is pressing toward resistance at $87,422.70, the September high. The 50-day exponential moving average sits near $80,782, above the 200-day at about $76,084, and RSI reads 58.5. Decrypt says a daily close above $84,726, ideally with ADX above 25, would open a target near $86,090.
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